While European leaders are not scheduled to finalize their choice for the ECB presidency until the latter half of next year, the political maneuvering has already begun. Calvino’s emphatic rejection of the position echoes the initial denials issued by Lagarde herself months before she secured the top post in 2019.
Attention now shifts to a crowded field of potential successors. Names frequently cited in policy circles include Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel, former Dutch central bank chief Klaas Knot, Bank for International Settlements Managing Director Pablo Hernandez de Cos, and current ECB board member Isabel Schnabel. With three board positions expiring in 2025—including that of chief economist Philip Lane—EU officials are bracing for a complex package deal. Given the established practice of reserving de facto permanent seats for the bloc’s largest economies, France and Germany are widely expected to exert significant influence over the final selection.
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