The mandate, covering delivery dates between August 25 and September 6, represents an unprecedented shift in Indian import strategy. While regional tanker traffic remains at multi-month lows, the refinery intends to maintain these routing requirements for future tenders unless conditions in West Asia stabilize. The decision follows weeks of escalating maritime threats, including Houthi-led vessel targeting and tactical shifts in tanker operations near Saudi export terminals.
Market data underscores the gravity of the disruption. Intelligence firm Windward reports that tankers loading at the Yanbu terminal have increasingly resorted to AIS-dark operations to evade detection. Although Brent crude prices retreated to approximately $88 following a temporary pause in direct military exchanges between Washington and Tehran, the flow of commodity tankers through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait has failed to return to normal levels. With only 11 vessels passing the chokepoint on Sunday, the refinery’s move signals a broader industry anxiety over the safety of these essential shipping lanes.

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