Gold Holds Above $4,100 Amid Geopolitical Tension and Yield Pressure

The labor market cooling, evidenced by a 57,000 increase in June payrolls and downward revisions to previous months, initially bolstered gold. However, the 10-year Treasury yield has pushed back to 4.499%, and the DXY index remains steady at 100.91, effectively curbing aggressive long-positioning. Investors are now shifting their focus toward Wednesday's Federal Reserve minutes and the upcoming July 14 CPI report to gauge the next move for interest rates.

Simultaneously, oil markets are reacting to heightened volatility in the Strait of Hormuz following reported attacks on commercial vessels near Limah, Oman. While Brent crude has climbed to $72.62 and WTI to $69.05, the broader impact on gold remains secondary to the dominant narrative of dollar strength and monetary policy expectations. Technically, gold bulls must clear the $4,200 to $4,260 resistance zone to signal further gains, while bears eye a break below $4,091 as a prerequisite for a deeper correction.